Raising ambition

Matching EU climate ambition with the Paris Agreement

The current EU target for 2030 – a 40% cut in emissions compared to 1990– is not in line with the Paris objective of limiting temperature rise to well below 2° and pursuing efforts to limit the increase to less than 1.5°. On a linear pathway, a 40% reduction in 2030 means a 70% reduction in 2050, which is far too low even when compared to the EU’s 2050 indicative target of 80-95%, not to mention the greater ambition required under the Paris Agreement.

Total GHG Budget in the EU (2021-2030) (Mt CO2 eq.)

Your option:
5.000 Mt CO₂ eq.
saved
5,100
Annual GHG Emissions
1,900
2021
2030
All other options set at EC proposal, with all loopholes included
Current EU target:
39,244 Mt CO₂ eq.
Current EU target:
39,244 Mt CO₂ eq.
Whoops. Although this is the EU’s current target, a 40% target does not put Europe on the right track to deliver on the Paris Agreement. Furthermore, the loopholes the Commission proposed would reduce the 40% target to a mere 36% in 2030
4275 4156 4071 3989 3911 3863 3839 3743 3747 3650
- 41% 2030 target compared to 1990:
37,687 Mt CO₂ eq.
Better. A 45% target would be a higher target than the 36% target adopted by the EU, but is still far away from what we need under the Paris Agreement. However, even this increased ambition would still be affected by loopholes unless these are also addressed.
4247 4100 3986 3876 3769 3693 3641 3516 3492 3367
- 46% 2030 target compared to 1990:
36,130 Mt CO₂ eq.
Almost there. As the target gets more ambitious, the benefits that go alongside it - more jobs in renewable energy and energy efficiency, cleaner air to breathe - also increase. However, even this increased ambition would still be affected by loopholes unless these are also addressed.
4219 4043 3901 3763 3627 3523 3443 3290 3237 3084
- 51% 2030 target compared to 1990 (WWF):
34,570 Mt CO₂ eq.
Good! This outcome should keep the EU on track to fulfil its Paris commitment. However, even this increased ambition would still be affected by loopholes unless these are also addressed.
4190 3986 3816 3649 3486 3353 3244 3063 2982 2801
- 56% 2030 target compared to 1990:
33,013 Mt CO₂ eq.
Fantastic! The more the world does to cut the pollution that causes climate change, the smaller the impact of human activity on our environment will be. However, even this increased ambition would still be affected by loopholes unless these are also addressed.
4162 3930 3731 3536 3344 3183 3046 2837 2727 2517


Why a carbon budget approach matters Test the impact of all loopholes together